Sport Picks
Treowen vs Ynyshir Albions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
28'
28'
Norton J.
41'
41'
Evans J.
90'
90'
Facey D.
AI Match Summary
Ynyshir Albions in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ynyshir Albions.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ynyshir Albions
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Treowen lately — more wins on the board than Ynyshir Albions.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Ynyshir Albions taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Treowen Clean Sheet 20%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Treowen | Ynyshir Albions |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Cymru South
Treowen vs Ynyshir Albions
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Treowen
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Cymru South
Treowen vs Ynyshir Albions
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Treowen Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Ynyshir Albions Compare
Top Goalscorer Norton J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Facey D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Treowen 20 / 100
Ynyshir Albions 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Treowen Ynyshir Albions
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ynyshir Albions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Treowen scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Ynyshir Albions let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Recent resilience: Treowen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Treowen VS Ynyshir Albions
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Treowen
(Home) 03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1 Treowen
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2 Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Treowen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Treowen
3 : 0 Caerphilly
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3 Pontypridd United
18 Apr
Treowen
4 : 1 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 4
Ynyshir Albions
(Away) 03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
