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Trepca Mitrovice vs Liria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trepca Mitrovice host Liria in the Liga e Pare. Liria go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Trepca Mitrovice at 1.03 goals for, 1.9 against; Liria at 1.69 for, 0.84 against. Head-to-head, Trepca Mitrovice have won 2 to Liria's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 2:5. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.25) point toward Liria. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Trepca Mitrovice
20%
Draws
48%
Liria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Liria have won more games recently than Trepca Mitrovice.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga e Pare form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 19%
Liria Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trepca Mitrovice Liria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 22
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Liria
2:5
Oct 11, 2025 Liga e Pare
Liria vs Trepca Mitrovice
2:2
Apr 25, 2025 Liga e Pare
Liria vs Trepca Mitrovice
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Liria
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 Liga e Pare
Liria vs Trepca Mitrovice
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trepca Mitrovice 32 / 100
Liria 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trepca Mitrovice Liria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Trepca Mitrovice scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Trepca Mitrovice stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Liria let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Trepca Mitrovice VS Liria
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Trepca Mitrovice

(Home)
03 Oct
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Besa Peja
27 Sept
Suhareka
4 : 1
Trepca Mitrovice
21 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Tefik Canga
11 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
06 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 0
Kika
Page 1 of 6

Liria

(Away)
26 Sept
Liria
1 : 0
Ramiz Sadiku
19 Sept
2 Korriku
0 : 1
Liria
11 Sept
Liria
3 : 1
Vellaznimi
05 Sept
Istogu
1 : 0
Liria
30 Aug
Liria
2 : 1
Vjosa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 5 3 0 16:4 18
2 Liria 7 5 1 1 9:4 16
3 Prishtina e Re 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 Rilindja 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
5 Trepca 89 8 3 4 1 8:5 13
6 Suhareka 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
7 2 Korriku 8 3 2 3 6:5 11
8 Trepca Mitrovice 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
9 Ferizaj 8 2 4 2 9:5 10
10 Istogu 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
11 Vellaznimi 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
12 Vjosa 8 2 3 3 9:8 9
13 Kika 8 1 6 1 4:6 9
14 Ramiz Sadiku 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
15 Besa Peja 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
16 KF Lepenci 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 5:11 4
18 Tefik Canga 8 0 3 5 7:13 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)