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Tres Cantos vs AD Alcala

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 game between Tres Cantos and AD Alcala finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tres Cantos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tres Cantos
20%
Draws
50%
AD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tres Cantos come out ahead of AD Alcala on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 22%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Cantos AD Alcala
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.22 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs AD Alcala
1:0
Nov 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Tres Cantos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Cantos 37 / 100
AD Alcala 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Cantos AD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Alcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AD Alcala conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Tres Cantos scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Tres Cantos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tres Cantos VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tres Cantos

(Home)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 7

AD Alcala

(Away)
24 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0
AD Alcala
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Villaviciosa de Odon
2 : 1
AD Alcala
13 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 0
AD Alcala
09 Apr
AD Alcala
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)