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Tres Cantos vs AD Torrejon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Febre
36' Event
Martin J.
63' Event
Marcos A.

AI Match Summary

AD Torrejon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Torrejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tres Cantos
15%
Draws
57%
AD Torrejon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Torrejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Torrejon lately — more wins on the board than Tres Cantos.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on AD Torrejon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 10%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Cantos AD Torrejon
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.29 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 2.22
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs AD Torrejon
2:3
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Tres Cantos
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs AD Torrejon
3:3
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Tres Cantos
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs AD Torrejon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tres Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cantero Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Febre
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Cantos 26 / 100
AD Torrejon 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Cantos AD Torrejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Torrejon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tres Cantos scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

AD Torrejon let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

AD Torrejon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tres Cantos VS AD Torrejon
2.29 Goals Scored 1.88
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tres Cantos

(Home)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 7

AD Torrejon

(Away)
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2
AD Torrejon
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3
CD Las Rozas
17 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)