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Tres Cantos vs Alcorcon B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Tres Cantos Logo

Tres Cantos

1 - 3
FT
Alcorcon B Logo

Alcorcon B

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pastor V.
12' Event
Ronchetti F.
42' Event
Sanchez Caballero R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Tres Cantos and Alcorcon B finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Tres Cantos
20%
Draws
58%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcorcon B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alcorcon B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Alcorcon B here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 10%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Cantos Alcorcon B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Alcorcon B
1:3
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Tres Cantos
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Tres Cantos
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Alcorcon B
2:4
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Tres Cantos
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tres Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronchetti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastor V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez Caballero R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Cantos 10 / 100
Alcorcon B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Cantos Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Tres Cantos found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Alcorcon B let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Tres Cantos remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tres Cantos VS Alcorcon B
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tres Cantos

(Home)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)