Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo de Alarcon

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tres Cantos play Pozuelo de Alarcon in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tres Cantos averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Pozuelo de Alarcon averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Tres Cantos won 2, Pozuelo de Alarcon won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Tres Cantos and 1.44 for Pozuelo de Alarcon. This points to a Pozuelo de Alarcon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Tres Cantos

15%

Draws

50%

Pozuelo de Alarcon

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Tres Cantos picked up more points recently compared to Pozuelo de Alarcon.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 16%

Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tres Cantos	Pozuelo de Alarcon
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	11
Draws	3	10
Losses	18	9
Goals Scored	1.27	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.97	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Tres Cantos

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

3:1

Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Tres Cantos vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Tres Cantos vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

Possession: 40% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Tres Cantos

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Tres Cantos vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tres Cantos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Reguilon M.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Cantos 35 / 100

Pozuelo de Alarcon 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tres Cantos Pozuelo de Alarcon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pozuelo de Alarcon or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tres Cantos attacking → ← attacking Pozuelo de Alarcon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tres Cantos scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Pozuelo de Alarcon let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tres Cantos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pozuelo de Alarcon lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 43

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atl. Madrid C	34	18	10	6	83:46	64
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50:36	60
3	AD Torrejon	34	17	9	8	57:46	60
4	CD Las Rozas	34	16	8	10	58:42	56
5	Leganes B	34	15	9	10	63:33	54
6	Union Adarve	34	15	8	11	48:42	53
7	CD Mostoles	34	14	9	11	51:45	51
8	San Sebastian Reyes B	34	12	13	9	45:35	49
9	Pozuelo de Alarcon	34	12	12	10	40:33	48
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42:47	46
11	Mexico	34	12	9	13	45:49	45
12	Siello	34	13	5	16	39:45	44
13	Alcorcon B	34	11	11	12	37:34	44
14	Villaverde San Andres	34	10	13	11	32:44	43
15	Carabanchel	34	9	11	14	30:36	38
16	Tres Cantos	34	10	3	21	40:65	33
17	Parla	34	7	6	21	29:66	27
18	Ciudad de Madrid	34	5	7	22	31:76	22