Sport Picks
Tres Cantos vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Reguilon M.
69'
69'
Reguilon M.
AI Match Summary
Pozuelo de Alarcon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pozuelo de Alarcon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pozuelo de Alarcon lately — more wins on the board than Tres Cantos.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 10%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tres Cantos | Pozuelo de Alarcon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Tres Cantos
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:2
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
3:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Tres Cantos
2:0
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tres Cantos Compare
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare
Top Goalscorer Reguilon M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tres Cantos 30 / 100
Pozuelo de Alarcon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tres Cantos Pozuelo de Alarcon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pozuelo de Alarcon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tres Cantos's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Pozuelo de Alarcon has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Tres Cantos remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tres Cantos VS Pozuelo de Alarcon
1.83 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tres Cantos
(Home) 10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1 Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3 Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3 AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4 Tres Cantos
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03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3 Leganes B
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3 AD Torrejon
02 Apr
Tres Cantos
1 : 3 Alcorcon B
15 Mar
Tres Cantos
1 : 0 Carabanchel
01 Mar
Tres Cantos
0 : 6 San Sebastian Reyes B
Page 1 of 3
Pozuelo de Alarcon
(Away) 04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2 San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 1 RC Alcobendas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
22 Aug
Real Avila
4 : 0 Pozuelo de Alarcon
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
