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Tres Coracoes vs Itabirito

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Itabirito in this Mineiro 3 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabirito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Tres Coracoes
11%
Draws
80%
Itabirito
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Itabirito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tres Coracoes lately — more wins on the board than Itabirito.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Itabirito taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 20%
Itabirito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Coracoes Itabirito
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 2 10
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Itabirito
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Coracoes 12 / 100
Itabirito 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Coracoes Itabirito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Itabirito has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tres Coracoes found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Itabirito
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Esporte Clube751112:516
2Valeriodoce751111:516
3America TO742111:614
4Novo Esporte741213:813
5Boston City723211:89
6Contagem72238:78
7Juventus Minasnovense71068:143
8Ideal FC70070:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabirito760112:118
2Villa Real74127:413
3Santarritense73318:412
4Tres Coracoes731312:1310
5Passos72325:59
6Figueirense Esporte Clube71426:107
7Betis71335:86
8Pocos de Caldas70162:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
6Serranense71338:106
7Paracatu71337:126
8Sao Gotardo70254:132