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Tres Coracoes vs Itabirito

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
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AI Match Summary

Itabirito in this Mineiro 3 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabirito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tres Coracoes
15%
Draws
57%
Itabirito
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itabirito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tres Coracoes lately — more wins on the board than Itabirito.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Itabirito taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 20%
Itabirito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Coracoes Itabirito
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 2 10
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Itabirito
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Coracoes 12 / 100
Itabirito 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Coracoes Itabirito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Itabirito has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tres Coracoes found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Itabirito
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tres Coracoes

(Home)
19 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Guarani-MG
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Tres Coracoes
2 : 1
Tupynambas
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 2
Tres Coracoes
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Itabirito

(Away)
14 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 7
Atletico-MG
06 Feb
Betim FC
0 : 2
Itabirito
01 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 3
Tombense
24 Jan
URT
2 : 1
Itabirito
21 Jan
Uberlandia
0 : 1
Itabirito
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 7 5 1 1 12:5 16
2 Valeriodoce 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 America TO 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Novo Esporte 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Boston City 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
6 Contagem 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Juventus Minasnovense 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
8 Ideal FC 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabirito 7 6 0 1 12:1 18
2 Villa Real 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
3 Santarritense 7 3 3 1 8:4 12
4 Tres Coracoes 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Passos 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
6 Figueirense Esporte Clube 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
7 Betis 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Pocos de Caldas 7 0 1 6 2:12 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araxa 7 5 2 0 7:2 17
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
3 Nacional Uberaba 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Mamore 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
5 Inter de Minas 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 Serranense 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
7 Paracatu 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
8 Sao Gotardo 7 0 2 5 4:13 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)