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Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2024
Mon, Oct 7, 2024
0 - 3
10:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Leo
44' Event
Leo
55' Event
Leo

AI Match Summary

Tres Coracoes host Villa Real in the Mineiro 3 2024. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Tres Coracoes have averaged 0.9 scored and 2.21 conceded recently, against Villa Real's 1 scored and 1.12 conceded. Head-to-head, Tres Coracoes have won 2 to Villa Real's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2024, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.25 - 2.00) back Villa Real to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tres Coracoes
15%
Draws
59%
Villa Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villa Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Real have won more games recently than Tres Coracoes.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Coracoes Villa Real
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
0:3
Sep 15, 2024 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Tres Coracoes
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
0:0
Aug 27, 2023 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Tres Coracoes
0:1
Aug 28, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tres Coracoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo
3 Goals
Assists Leader Alexandre Portugal Passos K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Villa Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Coracoes 30 / 100
Villa Real 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Coracoes Villa Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Real Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tres Coracoes found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Villa Real's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Tres Coracoes has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tres Coracoes VS Villa Real
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tres Coracoes

(Home)
19 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Guarani-MG
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Tres Coracoes
2 : 1
Tupynambas
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 2
Tres Coracoes
Page 1 of 6

Villa Real

(Away)
19 Oct
Villa Real
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
14 Oct
Guarani-MG
4 : 0
Villa Real
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Tupynambas
6 : 0
Villa Real
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coimbra Esporte Clube 8 6 2 0 21:7 20
2 Contagem 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
3 America TO 8 4 1 3 9:6 13
4 Boston City 8 1 2 5 5:18 5
5 Social 8 0 2 6 3:15 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 10 9 0 1 21:4 27
2 Tupynambas 10 7 0 3 29:8 21
3 Inter de Minas 10 4 3 3 19:17 15
4 Villa Real 10 4 1 5 15:20 13
5 Pocos de Caldas 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
6 Tres Coracoes 10 1 0 9 5:32 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Essube 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
2 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
3 Paracatu 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Nacional Uberaba 8 4 0 4 17:14 12
5 Araguari 8 0 0 8 1:33 0
6 Araxa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams