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Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Sat, Oct 21, 2023
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tres Coracoes host Villa Real in the Mineiro 3 2023. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Villa Real have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Tres Coracoes have conceded 2.88 and scored 0.63. Past meetings favor Tres Coracoes slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2024, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 2.00, favoring Villa Real. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tres Coracoes
39%
Draws
30%
Villa Real
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tres Coracoes haven't matched Villa Real's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Coracoes Villa Real
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
0:3
Sep 15, 2024 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Tres Coracoes
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
0:0
Aug 27, 2023 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Tres Coracoes
0:1
Aug 28, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Coracoes 30 / 100
Villa Real 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Coracoes Villa Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tres Coracoes found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Villa Real has conceded goals in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Solid form: Tres Coracoes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tres Coracoes VS Villa Real
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tres Coracoes

(Home)
19 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Guarani-MG
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Tres Coracoes
2 : 1
Tupynambas
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 2
Tres Coracoes
Page 1 of 6

Villa Real

(Away)
19 Oct
Villa Real
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
14 Oct
Guarani-MG
4 : 0
Villa Real
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Tupynambas
6 : 0
Villa Real
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)