Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tresnjevka vs Gaj Mace

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Tresnjevka and Gaj Mace finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tresnjevka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tresnjevka
15%
Draws
39%
Gaj Mace
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tresnjevka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gaj Mace come out ahead of Tresnjevka on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Tresnjevka taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tresnjevka have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 10%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tresnjevka Gaj Mace
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.57 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Gaj Mace
5:3
Nov 7, 2021 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Tresnjevka
2:3
May 26, 2021 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Gaj Mace
3:2
Nov 8, 2020 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Tresnjevka
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tresnjevka 56 / 100
Gaj Mace 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tresnjevka Gaj Mace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tresnjevka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Tresnjevka's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gaj Mace's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

Tresnjevka has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tresnjevka VS Gaj Mace
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tresnjevka

(Home)
22 Jul
Tresnjevka
1 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
28 May
Karlovac
5 : 0
Tresnjevka
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0
Kurilovec
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Tresnjevka
5 : 3
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 6

Gaj Mace

(Away)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)