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Stadium Background

Tresnjevka vs Vrapce

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka Logo

Tresnjevka

3 - 4
FT
Vrapce Logo

Vrapce

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Tresnjevka and Vrapce finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vrapce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tresnjevka
30%
Draws
43%
Vrapce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vrapce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vrapce come out ahead of Tresnjevka on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vrapce a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vrapce here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 10%
Vrapce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tresnjevka Vrapce
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Vrapce
3:4
Sep 8, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Tresnjevka
3:0
Apr 7, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Tresnjevka
3:1
Sep 9, 2020 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Vrapce
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tresnjevka 10 / 100
Vrapce 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tresnjevka Vrapce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrapce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrapce has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Tresnjevka's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tresnjevka stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tresnjevka VS Vrapce
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tresnjevka

(Home)
22 Jul
Tresnjevka
1 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
28 May
Karlovac
5 : 0
Tresnjevka
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0
Kurilovec
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Tresnjevka
5 : 3
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 6

Vrapce

(Away)
29 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Vrapce
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
18 May
Vrapce
2 : 1
Lucko
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)