Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tresnjevka vs Zagorec Krapina

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Tresnjevka and Zagorec Krapina finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zagorec Krapina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tresnjevka
15%
Draws
39%
Zagorec Krapina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tresnjevka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Zagorec Krapina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tresnjevka a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zagorec Krapina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 14%
Zagorec Krapina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tresnjevka Zagorec Krapina
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.49
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Tresnjevka vs Zagorec Krapina
1:1
Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Zagorec Krapina
0:3
Sep 25, 2021 3. HNL Center
Zagorec Krapina vs Tresnjevka
3:1
May 5, 2021 3. HNL Center
Zagorec Krapina vs Tresnjevka
2:1
Oct 10, 2020 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Zagorec Krapina
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tresnjevka 57 / 100
Zagorec Krapina 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tresnjevka Zagorec Krapina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tresnjevka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zagorec Krapina let in goals in 82% of their last 39 matches.

Tresnjevka scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Tresnjevka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tresnjevka VS Zagorec Krapina
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tresnjevka

(Home)
22 Jul
Tresnjevka
1 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
28 May
Karlovac
5 : 0
Tresnjevka
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0
Kurilovec
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Tresnjevka
5 : 3
Gaj Mace
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Zagorec Krapina

(Away)
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
26 Aug
Granicar Kotoriba
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
14 Aug
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
31 Jul
Segesta
4 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
27 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 2
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)