Sport Picks
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
4'
4'
Clarke J.
11'
11'
Thomas J.
30'
30'
Pascoe J.
AI Match Summary
Trethomas Bluebirds in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trethomas Bluebirds.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trethomas Bluebirds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Afan Lido have won more games recently than Trethomas Bluebirds.
- Trethomas Bluebirds are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 13%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trethomas Bluebirds | Afan Lido |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.26 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido
5:2
Feb 20, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1:0
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido
3:2
Apr 4, 2025 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1:0
Oct 11, 2024 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trethomas Bluebirds Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira N.
3 Goals Assists Leader Clarke J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Afan Lido Compare
Top Goalscorer Pascoe J.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Meyer J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trethomas Bluebirds 39 / 100
Afan Lido 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trethomas Bluebirds Afan Lido
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trethomas Bluebirds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Trethomas Bluebirds's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Afan Lido has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Recent resilience: Trethomas Bluebirds stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Trethomas Bluebirds VS Afan Lido
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Trethomas Bluebirds
(Home) 03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3 Pontardawe
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3 Pontardawe
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4 Caerau Ely
31 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 0 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 3
Afan Lido
(Away) 02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0 Afan Lido
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0 Afan Lido
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
