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Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontardawe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Thomas J.
44' Event
Jones Ch.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Dorward J.

AI Match Summary

Pontardawe in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pontardawe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Trethomas Bluebirds
20%
Draws
34%
Pontardawe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trethomas Bluebirds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pontardawe have won more games recently than Trethomas Bluebirds.
  • Trethomas Bluebirds are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trethomas Bluebirds Pontardawe
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.61 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontardawe
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trethomas Bluebirds Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Pontardawe Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorward J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stone J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trethomas Bluebirds 40 / 100
Pontardawe 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trethomas Bluebirds Pontardawe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontardawe let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Trethomas Bluebirds scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Trethomas Bluebirds has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trethomas Bluebirds VS Pontardawe
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Trethomas Bluebirds

(Home)
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3
Pontardawe
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2
Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6

Pontardawe

(Away)
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3
Pontardawe
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0
Pontardawe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 8 6 2 0 25:6 20
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 9 6 1 2 23:16 19
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
12 Newport City 7 2 2 3 10:6 8
13 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
14 Caerphilly 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
15 Llantwit Major 8 2 1 5 7:20 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)