Sport Picks
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd United Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Hood J.
24'
24'
Jones J.
(Penalty)
51'
51'
Shaw J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Trethomas Bluebirds and Pontypridd United finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trethomas Bluebirds.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trethomas Bluebirds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pontypridd United come out ahead of Trethomas Bluebirds on wins alone.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Trethomas Bluebirds taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trethomas Bluebirds | Pontypridd United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.24 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:1
Mar 20, 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd United
4:2
Nov 28, 2025 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd United
4:0
Sep 14, 2024 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trethomas Bluebirds Compare
Top Goalscorer Hood J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Newman Jones A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Pontypridd United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trethomas Bluebirds 38 / 100
Pontypridd United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trethomas Bluebirds Pontypridd United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trethomas Bluebirds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Trethomas Bluebirds scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Pontypridd United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Trethomas Bluebirds remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Trethomas Bluebirds VS Pontypridd United
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Trethomas Bluebirds
(Home) 03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3 Pontardawe
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3 Pontardawe
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4 Caerau Ely
31 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 0 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 3
Pontypridd United
(Away) 03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3 Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3 Pontypridd United
11 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
