Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trevigliese vs Cittadella Vis Modena

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
de Respinis A.
87' Event
Sala F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Trevigliese
44%
Draws
20%
Cittadella Vis Modena
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Trevigliese haven't matched Cittadella Vis Modena's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 20%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trevigliese Cittadella Vis Modena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Trevigliese
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trevigliese Compare

Top Goalscorer de Respinis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Cittadella Vis Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Sala F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trevigliese 36 / 100
Cittadella Vis Modena 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trevigliese Cittadella Vis Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trevigliese found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Cittadella Vis Modena conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Trevigliese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trevigliese VS Cittadella Vis Modena
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trevigliese

(Home)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
Page 1 of 6

Cittadella Vis Modena

(Away)
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
02 Apr
Imolese
2 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)