Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D

Trevigliese

1 - 1

Rovato Vertovese

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Nchama V.

29'

Lleshaj V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Trevigliese and Rovato Vertovese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Trevigliese

28%

Draws

50%

Rovato Vertovese

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rovato Vertovese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Rovato Vertovese carry the better recent record into this one.
Rovato Vertovese are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 21%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Trevigliese Clean Sheet 19%

Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Trevigliese	Rovato Vertovese
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	13
Draws	8	9
Losses	19	8
Goals Scored	0.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group D

Trevigliese vs Rovato Vertovese

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Rovato Vertovese vs Trevigliese

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trevigliese Compare

Top Goalscorer Nchama V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Rovato Vertovese Compare

Top Goalscorer Lleshaj V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trevigliese 24 / 100

Rovato Vertovese 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Trevigliese Rovato Vertovese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROV Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trevigliese's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Rovato Vertovese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Trevigliese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trevigliese VS Rovato Vertovese

0.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38

75% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	34	23	8	3	60:21	77
2	Lentigione	34	22	7	5	51:23	73
3	Pistoiese	34	20	11	3	61:22	71
4	Piacenza	34	19	7	8	60:35	64
5	Pro Palazzolo	34	16	9	9	44:31	57
6	Pro Sesto	34	15	10	9	45:30	55
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	15	10	9	35:29	55
8	Rovato Vertovese	34	14	10	10	35:29	52
9	Sangiuliano City	34	14	8	12	41:45	47
10	SCD Progresso	34	10	9	15	38:42	39
11	Sant'Angelo	34	10	9	15	38:51	39
12	Correggese	34	9	12	13	35:36	39
13	Crema	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
14	Imolese	34	8	10	16	28:47	34
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	7	19	33:49	31
16	Tropical Coriano	34	7	10	17	29:45	31
17	Trevigliese	34	5	8	21	31:62	23
18	Tuttocuoio	34	0	8	26	18:73	8