Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Trevigliese play Rovato Vertovese in the Serie D - Group D. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trevigliese averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Rovato Vertovese averaged 1.06 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Trevigliese won 0, Rovato Vertovese won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.44 for Trevigliese and 1.25 for Rovato Vertovese. This points to a Rovato Vertovese double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Trevigliese picked up more points recently compared to Rovato Vertovese.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.44 vs 1.25 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trevigliese | Rovato Vertovese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trevigliese Compare
Rovato Vertovese Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trevigliese scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Rovato Vertovese let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Trevigliese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Rovato Vertovese lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |