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Stadium Background

Trevigliese vs Sant'Angelo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Mangni D.
52' Event
Ciarmoli L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Trevigliese and Sant'Angelo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Trevigliese
39%
Draws
30%
Sant'Angelo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sant'Angelo come out ahead of Trevigliese on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 16%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trevigliese Sant'Angelo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Sant'Angelo
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Trevigliese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trevigliese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciarmoli L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mangni D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trevigliese 31 / 100
Sant'Angelo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trevigliese Sant'Angelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sant'Angelo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Trevigliese scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Trevigliese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trevigliese VS Sant'Angelo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trevigliese

(Home)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
Page 1 of 6

Sant'Angelo

(Away)
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Piacenza
02 Apr
Correggese
2 : 1
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)