Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Mangni D.
52'
52'
Ciarmoli L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Trevigliese and Sant'Angelo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
35%
55%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sant'Angelo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sant'Angelo come out ahead of Trevigliese on wins alone.
- Sant'Angelo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 14%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trevigliese | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Sant'Angelo
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Trevigliese
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trevigliese Compare
Top Goalscorer Ciarmoli L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Sant'Angelo Compare
Top Goalscorer Mangni D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trevigliese 10 / 100
Sant'Angelo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trevigliese Sant'Angelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sant'Angelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sant'Angelo has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Trevigliese scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Trevigliese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Trevigliese VS Sant'Angelo
0.83 Goals Scored 1.38
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Trevigliese
(Home) 03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3 Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2 Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1 Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0 Trevigliese
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2 Lentigione
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
29 Mar
Trevigliese
0 : 2 Sangiuliano City
15 Mar
Trevigliese
1 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
22 Feb
Trevigliese
1 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
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Sant'Angelo
(Away) 20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0 Pavia
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Varesina
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3 Sant'Angelo
23 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3 Sant'Angelo
23 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2 Sant'Angelo
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1 Sant'Angelo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
