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Treviso vs Calvi Noale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Munaretto A.
79' Event
Mboup A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Treviso and Calvi Noale finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Treviso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Treviso
35%
Draws
31%
Calvi Noale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Calvi Noale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Treviso a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Treviso have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Treviso Clean Sheet 20%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treviso Calvi Noale
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Calvi Noale
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Treviso
0:2
Jan 11, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Calvi Noale
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Treviso
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Munaretto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Calvi Noale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treviso 42 / 100
Calvi Noale 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treviso Calvi Noale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treviso has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Treviso's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Calvi Noale has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Treviso VS Calvi Noale
1 Goals Scored 0.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Treviso

(Home)
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

Calvi Noale

(Away)
04 Oct
Virtus Bolzano
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
27 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)