Sport Picks

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Treviso vs Montebelluna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Arcopinto A.
32' Event
Sottovia D.
65'
Chinellato M.

AI Match Summary

Treviso in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treviso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Treviso
35%
Draws
20%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Treviso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treviso lately — more wins on the board than Montebelluna.
  • Treviso are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Treviso Clean Sheet 68%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treviso Montebelluna
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Montebelluna
2:0
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Treviso
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Arcopinto A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sottovia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Montebelluna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treviso 86 / 100
Montebelluna 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treviso Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treviso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treviso went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Treviso scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Montebelluna has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Treviso VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Treviso

(Home)
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 7

Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)