Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Treviso vs Montecchio Maggiore

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Gioe B.

AI Match Summary

Treviso in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treviso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Treviso
35%
Draws
6%
Montecchio Maggiore
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Treviso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Montecchio Maggiore haven't matched Treviso's recent run of results.
  • Treviso are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Treviso Clean Sheet 19%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treviso Montecchio Maggiore
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.27 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Treviso
1:1
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Montecchio Maggiore
0:2
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Treviso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Gioe B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treviso 85 / 100
Montecchio Maggiore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treviso Montecchio Maggiore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treviso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montecchio Maggiore has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Treviso has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Treviso found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Treviso VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Treviso

(Home)
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0
Lecco
Page 1 of 7

Montecchio Maggiore

(Away)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)