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Treviso vs Ospitaletto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Omobono Tenni, Treviso
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Treviso host Ospitaletto in the Serie C - Group A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Treviso at 1.17 goals for, 1 against; Ospitaletto at 1.52 for, 1.1 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.31, favoring Treviso. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Treviso
35%
Draws
31%
Ospitaletto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Treviso have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Ospitaletto are scoring more at 1.52.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Treviso Clean Sheet 18%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treviso Ospitaletto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treviso 32 / 100
Ospitaletto 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treviso Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treviso went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Treviso scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Ospitaletto has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ospitaletto's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Treviso VS Ospitaletto
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Treviso

(Home)
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

Ospitaletto

(Away)
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2
Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1
Cittadella
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)