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Treze PB vs Sao Paulo Crystal

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Edmundo
(Penalty)
53' Event
Rafael Castro
58' Event
Will

AI Match Summary

Treze PB in this Paraibano 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treze PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Treze PB
11%
Draws
80%
Sao Paulo Crystal
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sao Paulo Crystal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treze PB lately — more wins on the board than Sao Paulo Crystal.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Sao Paulo Crystal taking it.
  • Regular Paraibano 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Treze PB Clean Sheet 19%
Sao Paulo Crystal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treze PB Sao Paulo Crystal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Paraibano
Treze PB vs Sao Paulo Crystal
3:1
Mar 26, 2023 Paraibano
Treze PB vs Sao Paulo Crystal
1:0
Mar 19, 2023 Paraibano
Sao Paulo Crystal vs Treze PB
1:1
Jan 7, 2023 Paraibano
Treze PB vs Sao Paulo Crystal
2:0
May 27, 2021 Paraibano
Treze PB vs Sao Paulo Crystal
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treze PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Castro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Will
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sao Paulo Crystal Compare

Top Goalscorer Netinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treze PB 12 / 100
Sao Paulo Crystal 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treze PB Sao Paulo Crystal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Treze PB scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Sao Paulo Crystal conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Treze PB stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treze PB VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treze PB970218:621
2Serra Branca952213:617
3Botafogo PB952213:917
4Sousa942311:614
5CSP941410:913
6Campinense93246:1011
7Nacional PB93157:1010
8Pombal931510:1410
9Sao Paulo Crystal91174:224
10Atletico Cajazeirense93248:8-2