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Trident vs Kabwe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2023/2024
Trident Logo

Trident

0 - 1
FT
Kabwe Logo

Kabwe

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Tolopa M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2023/2024 game between Trident and Kabwe finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kabwe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Trident
35%
Draws
24%
Kabwe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trident

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Kabwe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Trident Clean Sheet 26%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trident Kabwe
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.86 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2024 Super League
Trident vs Kabwe
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 Super League
Kabwe vs Trident
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trident Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Kabwe Compare

Top Goalscorer Tolopa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trident 38 / 100
Kabwe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trident Kabwe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kabwe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trident scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Trident went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kabwe let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Trident VS Kabwe
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trident

(Home)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
01 Jun
Trident
1 : 1
Green Buffaloes FC
25 May
Zesco
5 : 1
Trident
18 May
Trident
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
15 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 1
Trident
Page 1 of 6

Kabwe

(Away)
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Arrows 34 21 8 5 45:16 71
2 Zesco 34 15 14 5 46:30 59
3 Power Dynamos 34 14 14 6 43:24 56
4 Muza Fc 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
5 Kabwe 34 14 10 10 33:26 52
6 Nkwazi 34 14 10 10 33:35 52
7 Mufulira Wanderers 34 11 10 13 32:32 43
8 Zanaco 34 9 16 9 27:30 43
9 Nkana 34 11 10 13 24:30 43
10 Forest Rangers 34 9 15 10 33:34 42
11 Green Buffaloes FC 34 10 12 12 31:35 42
12 Green Eagles 34 11 9 14 35:41 42
13 Mutondo Stars 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 NAPSA Stars 34 9 13 12 26:30 40
15 Konkola Blades 34 8 15 11 23:31 39
16 Prison Leopards 34 8 11 15 26:37 35
17 Kansanshi 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
18 Trident 34 4 14 16 26:44 26
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