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Trident vs Nkana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ngulube J.
56' Event
Banda A.
85' Event
Musukuma P.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2023/2024 game between Trident and Nkana finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nkana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Trident
30%
Draws
41%
Nkana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nkana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nkana come out ahead of Trident on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Nkana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Nkana have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Trident Clean Sheet 31%
Nkana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trident Nkana
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.86 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Super League
Trident vs Nkana
0:1
Mar 2, 2024 Super League
Trident vs Nkana
1:2
Oct 1, 2023 Super League
Nkana vs Trident
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trident Compare

Top Goalscorer Musukuma P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Nkana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngulube J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banda A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trident 26 / 100
Nkana 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trident Nkana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nkana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trident found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Nkana has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Trident went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Trident VS Nkana
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0.33 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trident

(Home)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
01 Jun
Trident
1 : 1
Green Buffaloes FC
25 May
Zesco
5 : 1
Trident
18 May
Trident
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
15 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 1
Trident
Page 1 of 6

Nkana

(Away)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Arrows 34 21 8 5 45:16 71
2 Zesco 34 15 14 5 46:30 59
3 Power Dynamos 34 14 14 6 43:24 56
4 Muza Fc 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
5 Kabwe 34 14 10 10 33:26 52
6 Nkwazi 34 14 10 10 33:35 52
7 Mufulira Wanderers 34 11 10 13 32:32 43
8 Zanaco 34 9 16 9 27:30 43
9 Nkana 34 11 10 13 24:30 43
10 Forest Rangers 34 9 15 10 33:34 42
11 Green Buffaloes FC 34 10 12 12 31:35 42
12 Green Eagles 34 11 9 14 35:41 42
13 Mutondo Stars 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 NAPSA Stars 34 9 13 12 26:30 40
15 Konkola Blades 34 8 15 11 23:31 39
16 Prison Leopards 34 8 11 15 26:37 35
17 Kansanshi 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
18 Trident 34 4 14 16 26:44 26
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