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Trident vs Nkwazi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Chabula E.
31' Event
Songwe W.
Own Goal
45' Event
Masanyinga B.

AI Match Summary

Nkwazi in this Super League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nkwazi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Trident
30%
Draws
41%
Nkwazi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nkwazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nkwazi lately — more wins on the board than Trident.
  • Nkwazi are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Trident Clean Sheet 20%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trident Nkwazi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.86 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Super League
Trident vs Nkwazi
1:3
Nov 26, 2023 Super League
Nkwazi vs Trident
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trident Compare

Top Goalscorer Mtonga R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Nkwazi Compare

Top Goalscorer Chabula E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masanyinga B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.49
Avg xA / game 0.3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trident 28 / 100
Nkwazi 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trident Nkwazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nkwazi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trident found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Nkwazi has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Trident stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trident VS Nkwazi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trident

(Home)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
01 Jun
Trident
1 : 1
Green Buffaloes FC
25 May
Zesco
5 : 1
Trident
18 May
Trident
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
15 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 1
Trident
Page 1 of 6

Nkwazi

(Away)
03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2
Roan United
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1
Nkwazi
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0
Kansanshi
03 May
Nkwazi
1 : 1
Zesco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Arrows 34 21 8 5 45:16 71
2 Zesco 34 15 14 5 46:30 59
3 Power Dynamos 34 14 14 6 43:24 56
4 Muza Fc 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
5 Kabwe 34 14 10 10 33:26 52
6 Nkwazi 34 14 10 10 33:35 52
7 Mufulira Wanderers 34 11 10 13 32:32 43
8 Zanaco 34 9 16 9 27:30 43
9 Nkana 34 11 10 13 24:30 43
10 Forest Rangers 34 9 15 10 33:34 42
11 Green Buffaloes FC 34 10 12 12 31:35 42
12 Green Eagles 34 11 9 14 35:41 42
13 Mutondo Stars 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 NAPSA Stars 34 9 13 12 26:30 40
15 Konkola Blades 34 8 15 11 23:31 39
16 Prison Leopards 34 8 11 15 26:37 35
17 Kansanshi 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
18 Trident 34 4 14 16 26:44 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Main)
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