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Triesenberg vs Vaduz

Liechtenstein Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vaduz in this Liechtenstein Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Triesenberg
15%
Draws
46%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vaduz lately — more wins on the board than Triesenberg.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Vaduz taking it.
  • Vaduz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vaduz, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Vaduz here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Triesenberg Clean Sheet 10%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triesenberg Vaduz
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 20
Draws 0 2
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 3.17 2.58
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2025 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesenberg vs Vaduz
1:5
May 8, 2024 Liechtenstein Cup
Vaduz vs Triesenberg
5:0
May 13, 2015 Liechtenstein Cup
Vaduz vs Triesenberg
5:0
Apr 10, 2012 Liechtenstein Cup
Vaduz vs Triesenberg
3:1
Apr 5, 2011 Liechtenstein Cup
Vaduz vs Triesenberg
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triesenberg 10 / 100
Vaduz 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triesenberg Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaduz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Triesenberg's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Triesenberg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Triesenberg VS Vaduz
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Triesenberg

(Home)
09 Sept
Triesenberg
0 : 3
Vaduz B
09 Aug
Eschen/Mauren B
1 : 4
Triesenberg
04 Nov
Triesenberg
1 : 5
Vaduz
24 Sept
Schaan B
0 : 6
Triesenberg
18 Sept
Triesenberg
0 : 4
Eschen/Mauren
Page 1 of 6

Vaduz

(Away)
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
23 Aug
Young Boys
4 : 2
Vaduz
13 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 2
Inter Turku
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Balzers B -
TBD -
Ruggell D 1
Eschen/Mauren B 7
Triesen B -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzers -
Schaan B -
TBD -
TBD -
Triesenberg -
Triesenberg B -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaduz -
Ruggell C 4
Balzers C 1
Eschen/Mauren C 1
Vaduz C 5
Ruggell B -
TBD -
TBD -
Triesen -
Schaan -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruggell -
Vaduz B -
TBD -
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren -
1/8-finals
Balzers B 0
Eschen/Mauren B 4
Triesen B 0
Balzers 4
Schaan B 0
Triesenberg 6
Triesenberg B 0
Vaduz 12
Ruggell C 3
Vaduz C 7
Ruggell B 1
Triesen 3
Schaan 1
Ruggell 4
Vaduz B 0
Eschen/Mauren 1
Quarter-finals
Eschen/Mauren B 1
Balzers 4
Triesenberg 1
Vaduz 5
Vaduz C 2
Triesen 3
Ruggell 0
Eschen/Mauren 1
Semi-finals
Balzers 2
Vaduz 4
Triesen 1
Eschen/Mauren 11
Final
Vaduz 4
Eschen/Mauren 3