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Triestina vs Bassano Virtus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Beltrame P.
75' Event
Aloia D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Triestina and Bassano Virtus finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Triestina
35%
Draws
42%
Bassano Virtus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bassano Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Bassano Virtus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bassano Virtus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Triestina Clean Sheet 18%
Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triestina Bassano Virtus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 13
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Triestina vs Bassano Virtus
1:1
Mar 2, 2018 Serie C - Group B
Triestina vs Bassano Virtus
0:0
Oct 15, 2017 Serie C - Group B
Bassano Virtus vs Triestina
1:1
Apr 1, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Triestina vs Bassano Virtus
2:2
Nov 13, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Bassano Virtus vs Triestina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Beltrame P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Bassano Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Aloia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triestina 23 / 100
Bassano Virtus 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triestina Bassano Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bassano Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triestina found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Triestina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bassano Virtus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Triestina VS Bassano Virtus
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Triestina

(Home)
04 Oct
Triestina
2 : 0
FC Obermais
27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0
Triestina
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 6

Bassano Virtus

(Away)
04 Oct
Legnago Salus
0 : 2
Bassano Virtus
27 Sept
Bassano Virtus
2 : 0
Schio
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)