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Triestina vs FeralpiSalo

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 Stadio Nereo Rocco
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Cabianca E.
16'
Santini C.
28'
Olivieri M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 game between Triestina and FeralpiSalo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FeralpiSalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Triestina
39%
Draws
30%
FeralpiSalo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FeralpiSalo come out ahead of Triestina on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FeralpiSalo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Triestina Clean Sheet 16%
FeralpiSalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triestina FeralpiSalo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs FeralpiSalo
1:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie C - Group A
FeralpiSalo vs Triestina
2:0
Apr 8, 2023 Serie C - Group A
FeralpiSalo vs Triestina
1:0
Dec 4, 2022 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs FeralpiSalo
0:0
Mar 14, 2022 Serie C - Group A
FeralpiSalo vs Triestina
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Strizzolo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FeralpiSalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabianca E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crespi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triestina 31 / 100
FeralpiSalo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triestina FeralpiSalo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FeralpiSalo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Triestina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Triestina's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Triestina VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Padova38268465:2486
2Vicenza38258559:2483
3FeralpiSalo38219853:3072
4AlbinoLeffe3816121046:3860
5Renate381861435:3660
6Giana Erminio381691344:3957
7Trento381415947:4257
8Atalanta U23381691365:5357
9Virtus Verona3815111252:4356
10Arzignano381581545:4653
11Novara3814121242:3952
12Alcione Milano381381733:3747
13Lecco3810131536:4743
14Pergolettese381191836:4942
15Lumezzane389151440:5542
16Triestina381281840:4539
17Pro Vercelli389101930:5137
18Pro Patria386161632:4434
19Caldiero Terme38892139:6433
20Clodiense38492534:6721