Sport Picks

Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Stanko Mlakar Stadium

Triglav

0 - 4

Bistrica

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Dzajic D.

50'

Carrera Sanchez L.

72'

Vidovic D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bistrica in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bistrica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Triglav

17%

Draws

13%

Bistrica

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Triglav have won more games recently than Bistrica.
Model gives Triglav a 70% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Triglav Clean Sheet 20%

Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Triglav	Bistrica
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	21	9
Draws	5	5
Losses	4	14
Goals Scored	2.13	1
Goals Conceded	0.13	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.13	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 2. SNL

Triglav vs Bistrica

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

0:4

Nov 9, 2025 2. SNL

Bistrica vs Triglav

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

4:3

Apr 6, 2025 2. SNL

Bistrica vs Triglav

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Sep 21, 2024 2. SNL

Triglav vs Bistrica

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Mar 17, 2024 2. SNL

Bistrica vs Triglav

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triglav Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzajic D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Carrera Sanchez L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triglav 67 / 100

Bistrica 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Triglav Bistrica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triglav scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Bistrica has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Triglav stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Triglav VS Bistrica

2.13 Goals Scored 1

0.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Grosuplje	30	23	6	1	70:26	75
2	Nafta	30	23	6	1	65:23	75
3	Triglav	30	20	4	6	72:28	64
4	Beltinci	30	18	6	6	55:25	60
5	Tabor Sezana	30	15	5	10	37:33	50
6	Bistrica	30	13	6	11	50:36	45
7	Dravinja	30	10	7	13	32:44	37
8	Rudar	30	9	10	11	46:39	37
9	Bilje	30	9	7	14	27:47	34
10	Jadran Dekani	30	8	9	13	40:46	33
11	Slovan Ljubljana	30	9	5	16	32:52	32
12	NK Krka	30	6	11	13	32:51	29
13	Ilirija	30	6	9	15	38:52	27
14	Krsko Posavje	30	7	5	18	24:62	26
15	ND Gorica	30	4	10	16	31:45	22
16	Jesenice	30	4	6	20	26:68	18