Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Triglav vs Dravinja

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Stanko Mlakar Stadium, Kranj
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kregar O.
38' Event
Rozmaric B.
54' Event
Sorensen H.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Triglav and Dravinja finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Triglav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Triglav
15%
Draws
8%
Dravinja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Triglav carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Triglav's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Triglav have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Triglav Clean Sheet 68%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triglav Dravinja
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.45 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Triglav
1:4
Apr 11, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs Dravinja
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Triglav
2:4
May 18, 2025 2. SNL
Triglav vs Dravinja
4:0
Nov 10, 2024 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Triglav
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Kregar O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sorensen H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dravinja Compare

Top Goalscorer Rozmaric B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triglav 95 / 100
Dravinja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triglav Dravinja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Triglav Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triglav found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Dravinja has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Triglav went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Triglav VS Dravinja
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Triglav

(Home)
16 Sept
Triglav
4 : 0
NK Brezice
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
29 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 4
Triglav
14 Aug
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Triglav
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Dravinja

(Away)
11 Sept
Tabor Sezana
5 : 1
Dravinja
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
29 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 4
Triglav
22 Aug
Vrhnika
2 : 0
Dravinja
16 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 3
Bilje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)