Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Triglav vs Ilirija

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Stanko Mlakar Stadium, Kranj
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Zulic A.
88' Event
Brkic M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Triglav and Ilirija finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Triglav
6%
Draws
4%
Ilirija
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Triglav come out ahead of Ilirija on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Triglav's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Triglav Clean Sheet 68%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triglav Ilirija
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs Ilirija
1:1
Sep 3, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Triglav
0:2
Nov 26, 2024 2. SNL
Triglav vs Ilirija
1:0
Aug 9, 2024 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Triglav
2:2
Mar 29, 2024 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Triglav
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triglav Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Zulic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triglav 95 / 100
Ilirija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triglav Ilirija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triglav's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ilirija conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Triglav went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Triglav VS Ilirija
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Triglav

(Home)
22 May
Nafta
1 : 1
Triglav
16 May
Triglav
0 : 4
Bistrica
10 May
Tabor Sezana
0 : 1
Triglav
06 May
Triglav
2 : 0
Jadran Dekani
30 Apr
Jesenice
0 : 3
Triglav
Page 1 of 7

Ilirija

(Away)
22 May
Ilirija
1 : 3
Beltinci
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
09 May
Ilirija
1 : 0
Bilje
06 May
Dravinja
2 : 1
Ilirija
30 Apr
Ilirija
0 : 2
Nafta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)