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Triglav vs Jesenice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Hegic B.
66' Event
Poplatnik M.
79' Event
Radovic N.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL game between Triglav and Jesenice finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Triglav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Triglav
15%
Draws
40%
Jesenice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Triglav come out ahead of Jesenice on wins alone.
  • Model gives Triglav a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. SNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Triglav have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Triglav Clean Sheet 16%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triglav Jesenice
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.41 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs Jesenice
4:0
Apr 30, 2026 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Triglav
0:3
Oct 17, 2025 2. SNL
Triglav vs Jesenice
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegic B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poplatnik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jesenice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triglav 75 / 100
Jesenice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triglav Jesenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Triglav Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Triglav scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Jesenice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Triglav has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Triglav VS Jesenice
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Triglav

(Home)
04 Oct
Triglav
4 : 0
Jesenice
26 Sept
Triglav
1 : 1
Primorje
20 Sept
Triglav
3 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
16 Sept
Triglav
4 : 0
NK Brezice
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
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Jesenice

(Away)
04 Oct
Triglav
4 : 0
Jesenice
27 Sept
Jesenice
5 : 0
Vrhnika
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 9 7 1 1 20:7 22
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 18:5 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16:12 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 13:15 16
6 Rudar 9 5 0 4 19:16 15
7 Bilje 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
8 Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 10:12 14
9 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 15:10 13
10 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
11 Jadran Dekani 9 3 3 3 6:6 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
13 Krsko Posavje 9 2 3 4 8:15 9
14 NK Krka 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 9:24 4
16 NK Brezice 9 0 2 7 8:18 2
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)