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Triglav vs NK Brezice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Hegic B.
24' Event
Poplatnik M.
29' Event
Hegic B.

AI Match Summary

Triglav in this 2. SNL matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Triglav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Triglav
20%
Draws
32%
NK Brezice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Triglav lately — more wins on the board than NK Brezice.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Triglav taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Triglav Clean Sheet 18%
NK Brezice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triglav NK Brezice
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs NK Brezice
4:0
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Triglav vs NK Brezice
6:0
May 7, 2022 2. SNL
Triglav vs NK Brezice
2:3
Oct 23, 2021 2. SNL
NK Brezice vs Triglav
1:1
May 19, 2021 2. SNL
NK Brezice vs Triglav
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegic B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Poplatnik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

NK Brezice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triglav 85 / 100
NK Brezice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triglav NK Brezice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Triglav Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triglav scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

NK Brezice let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Triglav has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Triglav VS NK Brezice
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Triglav

(Home)
06 Nov
Ilirija
1 : 4
Triglav
02 Nov
Triglav
2 : 4
NK Krka
28 Oct
Beltinci
3 : 4
Triglav
23 Oct
Triglav
2 : 1
Nafta
16 Oct
Triglav
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
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NK Brezice

(Away)
02 Nov
NK Brezice
0 : 6
Beltinci
27 Oct
Jadran Dekani
0 : 0
NK Brezice
23 Oct
NK Brezice
4 : 2
Aluminij
18 Oct
NK Brezice
2 : 1
Krsko Posavje
10 Oct
Jesenice
2 : 2
NK Brezice
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Triglav 14 10 1 3 31:13 31
2 Tabor Sezana 13 10 1 2 26:10 31
3 Beltinci 13 9 1 3 39:17 28
4 Bistrica 14 7 2 5 19:17 23
5 Ilirija 14 7 1 6 25:17 22
6 Bilje 13 7 0 6 23:27 21
7 Rudar 13 6 1 6 23:20 19
8 Jadran Dekani 14 5 4 5 8:8 19
9 Jesenice 13 5 3 5 22:21 18
10 Slovan Ljubljana 13 5 2 6 14:21 17
11 Primorje 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
12 Dravinja 13 4 2 7 19:26 14
13 Vrhnika 13 4 2 7 12:22 14
14 NK Krka 13 4 1 8 17:22 13
15 Krsko Posavje 13 2 3 8 9:27 9
16 NK Brezice 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)