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Triglav vs NK Brezice

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Wed, Sep 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Triglav host NK Brezice in the 2. SNL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Triglav at 2.45 goals for, 1 against; NK Brezice at 1.71 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Triglav slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 6:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.63, favoring Triglav. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Triglav
15%
Draws
26%
NK Brezice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Triglav lately — more wins on the board than NK Brezice.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Triglav Clean Sheet 14%
NK Brezice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triglav NK Brezice
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.45 1.71
Goals Conceded 1 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Triglav vs NK Brezice
6:0
May 7, 2022 2. SNL
Triglav vs NK Brezice
2:3
Oct 23, 2021 2. SNL
NK Brezice vs Triglav
1:1
May 19, 2021 2. SNL
NK Brezice vs Triglav
1:1
Mar 28, 2021 2. SNL
Triglav vs NK Brezice
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triglav 30 / 100
NK Brezice 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triglav NK Brezice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Triglav Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triglav scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: NK Brezice conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Triglav has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Triglav VS NK Brezice
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Triglav

(Home)
29 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 4
Triglav
14 Aug
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Triglav
07 Aug
Vrhnika
0 : 1
Triglav
25 Jul
Mannheim
4 : 1
Triglav
24 Jul
Triglav
2 : 2
Segesta
Page 1 of 6

NK Brezice

(Away)
28 Aug
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
NK Brezice
15 Aug
NK Brezice
1 : 2
Vrhnika
08 Aug
Bilje
2 : 1
NK Brezice
09 Jul
NK Brezice
1 : 5
HNK Gorica
23 May
NK Brezice
6 : 0
Zavrc
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 4 4 0 0 11:0 12
2 Ilirija 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
3 Slovan Ljubljana 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
4 Jesenice 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
5 Bistrica 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
6 Triglav 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
7 Beltinci 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
8 Rudar 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
9 Vrhnika 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
10 Bilje 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
11 Primorje 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
12 Krsko Posavje 4 1 2 1 3:8 5
13 Jadran Dekani 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
14 NK Krka 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
15 NK Brezice 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
16 Dravinja 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)