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Triglav vs NK Krka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Poplatnik M.
26' Event
Gliha M.
37' Event
Cerne G.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL game between Triglav and NK Krka finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Krka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Triglav
15%
Draws
28%
NK Krka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Triglav carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Triglav's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 2. SNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Triglav Clean Sheet 20%
NK Krka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triglav NK Krka
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 20 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs NK Krka
2:4
Apr 3, 2026 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Triglav
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 2. SNL
Triglav vs NK Krka
2:2
May 4, 2025 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Triglav
0:2
Oct 18, 2024 2. SNL
Triglav vs NK Krka
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Poplatnik M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

NK Krka Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerne G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gliha M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triglav 40 / 100
NK Krka 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triglav NK Krka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Triglav Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Triglav scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

NK Krka has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Triglav went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Triglav VS NK Krka
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Triglav

(Home)
02 Nov
Triglav
2 : 4
NK Krka
28 Oct
Beltinci
3 : 4
Triglav
23 Oct
Triglav
2 : 1
Nafta
16 Oct
Triglav
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
11 Oct
Krsko Posavje
0 : 2
Triglav
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NK Krka

(Away)
02 Nov
Triglav
2 : 4
NK Krka
27 Oct
NK Krka
3 : 0
Vrhnika
17 Oct
Bilje
2 : 0
NK Krka
10 Oct
Ilirija
2 : 1
NK Krka
03 Oct
Tabor Sezana
2 : 1
NK Krka
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 13 10 1 2 26:10 31
2 Beltinci 13 9 1 3 39:17 28
3 Triglav 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Bistrica 13 7 2 4 19:16 23
5 Ilirija 13 7 1 5 24:13 22
6 Bilje 13 7 0 6 23:27 21
7 Rudar 13 6 1 6 23:20 19
8 Jesenice 13 5 3 5 22:21 18
9 Slovan Ljubljana 13 5 2 6 14:21 17
10 Jadran Dekani 13 4 4 5 7:8 16
11 Primorje 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
12 Dravinja 13 4 2 7 19:26 14
13 Vrhnika 13 4 2 7 12:22 14
14 NK Krka 13 4 1 8 17:22 13
15 Krsko Posavje 13 2 3 8 9:27 9
16 NK Brezice 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)