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Tripoli SC vs Salam Zgharta

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Korhani M.
81' Event
Calamari V.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2022/2023 game between Tripoli SC and Salam Zgharta finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tripoli SC
44%
Draws
20%
Salam Zgharta
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Tripoli SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tripoli SC Clean Sheet 27%
Salam Zgharta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tripoli SC Salam Zgharta
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2023 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Tripoli SC
2:1
Jan 15, 2023 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Salam Zgharta
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Salam Zgharta
1:1
Apr 7, 2021 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Tripoli SC
2:3
Oct 17, 2020 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Tripoli SC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tripoli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Korhani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Salam Zgharta Compare

Top Goalscorer Calamari V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tripoli SC 38 / 100
Salam Zgharta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tripoli SC Salam Zgharta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salam Zgharta has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Tripoli SC found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (37 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tripoli SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tripoli SC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar1183028:727
2Al Sahel1174017:525
3Al Ahed1173120:824
4Nejmeh SC1172218:723
5Bourj1172217:1123
6Al Ghazieh1133512:1612
7Safa112458:1510
8Tadamon1124511:1510
9Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley1121810:257
10Salam Zgharta111467:157
11Al Hikma112189:157
12Tripoli SC110564:225