Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tristan Suarez vs Almagro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Busto L.
34'
Sub
Olguin M. In: Guzman M.
Out: Olguin M.
36'
Gonzalez E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Tristan Suarez
20%
Draws
24%
Almagro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tristan Suarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tristan Suarez lately — more wins on the board than Almagro.
  • Model gives Tristan Suarez a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
Almagro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tristan Suarez Almagro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.54 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Almagro
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Almagro
2:1
Mar 11, 2022 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez
1:0
Jul 23, 2021 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Almagro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tristan Suarez 95 / 100
Almagro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tristan Suarez Almagro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tristan Suarez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tristan Suarez scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Almagro conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Tristan Suarez went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tristan Suarez VS Almagro
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tristan Suarez

(Home)
10 Aug
Gimnasia Jujuy
0 : 2
Tristan Suarez
03 Aug
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Tristan Suarez
25 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
11 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
04 Jul
Temperley
1 : 0
Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6

Almagro

(Away)
15 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 0
Almagro
09 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 1
Almagro
05 Aug
Almagro
0 : 2
Gimnasia y Tiro
01 Aug
Almagro
1 : 1
Midland
27 Jul
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 3
Almagro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 25 15 4 6 31:23 49
2 Deportivo Moron 24 13 5 6 39:22 44
3 Colon Santa Fe 25 11 9 5 32:19 42
4 Almirante Brown 24 10 8 6 19:13 38
5 Godoy Cruz 24 10 7 7 28:22 37
6 Deportivo Madryn 23 9 9 5 30:22 36
7 CA Estudiantes 25 9 8 8 22:20 35
8 Ciudad Bolivar 25 8 10 7 21:22 34
9 Los Andes 23 8 9 6 20:11 33
10 Racing Cordoba 24 8 6 10 23:28 30
11 CA Mitre 25 6 11 8 25:29 29
12 San Miguel 24 6 11 7 19:23 29
13 Defensores de Belgrano 24 5 11 8 16:21 26
14 All Boys 24 4 12 8 14:23 24
15 San Telmo 24 5 8 11 18:27 23
16 Central Norte 23 5 8 10 15:24 23
17 Chaco For Ever 23 5 7 11 21:28 22
18 Acassuso 24 5 7 12 18:29 22
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 23 11 9 3 23:12 42
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 24 12 5 7 35:29 41
3 Atletico Atlanta 24 12 3 9 30:25 39
4 Midland 24 10 8 6 26:17 38
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 24 10 7 7 26:22 37
6 Temperley 24 9 10 5 24:21 37
7 Deportivo Maipu 25 10 5 10 33:27 35
8 Atl. Rafaela 25 9 8 8 18:19 35
9 Quilmes 25 8 8 9 27:21 32
10 San Martin T. 24 7 10 7 22:20 31
11 Colegiales 24 8 6 10 23:25 30
12 Almagro 25 8 6 11 21:29 30
13 Nueva Chicago 23 7 8 8 20:22 29
14 Agropecuario 25 7 8 10 22:28 29
15 San Martin S.J. 22 7 7 8 23:23 28
16 Chacarita Juniors 24 7 5 12 18:26 26
17 Patronato 24 4 12 8 18:26 24
18 Club Atletico Guemes 24 5 5 14 21:43 20
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)