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Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez
Tristan Suarez Logo

Tristan Suarez

Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Deportivo Maipu Logo

Deportivo Maipu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tristan Suarez host Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Tristan Suarez at 0.9 goals for, 0.48 against; Deportivo Maipu at 1.21 for, 0.82 against. Past meetings favor Deportivo Maipu slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 0.50, favoring Tristan Suarez. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tristan Suarez
35%
Draws
31%
Deportivo Maipu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tristan Suarez lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Maipu.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tristan Suarez Deportivo Maipu
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.48 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tristan Suarez 31 / 100
Deportivo Maipu 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tristan Suarez Deportivo Maipu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tristan Suarez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tristan Suarez went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Maipu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Tristan Suarez scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Tristan Suarez VS Deportivo Maipu
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tristan Suarez

(Home)
17 Oct
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Patronato
10 Oct
Colegiales
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Maipu

(Away)
17 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Deportivo Maipu
11 Oct
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
San Martin S.J.
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)