Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tristan Suarez vs Gimnasia Jujuy

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Beron J.
37'
Sub
Beron J. In: Berrondo A.
Out: Beron J.
42'
Cosaro G.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Tristan Suarez and Gimnasia Jujuy finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tristan Suarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tristan Suarez
40%
Draws
29%
Gimnasia Jujuy
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnasia Jujuy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tristan Suarez Gimnasia Jujuy
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3:0
Aug 4, 2024 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristan Suarez
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:1
Sep 24, 2023 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1:2
May 13, 2023 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristan Suarez
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tristan Suarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Beron J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Gimnasia Jujuy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tristan Suarez 42 / 100
Gimnasia Jujuy 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tristan Suarez Gimnasia Jujuy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gimnasia Jujuy conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Tristan Suarez went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tristan Suarez scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Tristan Suarez VS Gimnasia Jujuy
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
13% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tristan Suarez

(Home)
25 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
11 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
04 Jul
Temperley
1 : 0
Tristan Suarez
21 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
14 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia Jujuy

(Away)
26 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
12 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
05 Jul
Midland
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
21 Jun
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia Jujuy
17 Jun
Gimnasia Jujuy
4 : 0
Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro22134525:1843
2Deportivo Moron21115533:1938
3Colon Santa Fe2298527:1835
4Ciudad Bolivar22810421:1734
5Los Andes2189419:833
6Almirante Brown2288615:1332
7Godoy Cruz2187622:1831
8CA Estudiantes2287719:1831
9Deportivo Madryn2179527:2230
10Racing Cordoba2276922:2627
11San Miguel21511517:2126
12Defensores de Belgrano2159714:1824
13All Boys22411713:2023
14CA Mitre22410820:2722
15San Telmo2148917:2320
16Acassuso21551115:2320
17Chaco For Ever21471018:2619
18Central Norte21471013:2319
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy21125434:2341
2Temperley22910323:1837
3Atletico Atlanta21113726:1836
4Tristan Suarez2199318:1136
5Midland2196622:1533
6San Martin T.2279620:1730
7Atl. Rafaela2286816:1830
8Deportivo Maipu2285927:2229
9Gimnasia y Tiro2177720:2128
10Almagro2184919:2328
11San Martin S.J.2075821:2126
12Colegiales2175919:2026
13Nueva Chicago2168718:1926
14Quilmes2166918:1724
15Chacarita Juniors21651016:2223
16Agropecuario2258917:2623
17Patronato21410713:1822
18Club Atletico Guemes21541219:3619
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)