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Tristan Suarez vs Patronato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez
Tristan Suarez Logo

Tristan Suarez

1 - 0
FT
Patronato Logo

Patronato

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Piccioni S.
25' Event
Becker D.
40'
Meritello F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Tristan Suarez and Patronato finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tristan Suarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tristan Suarez
35%
Draws
28%
Patronato
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tristan Suarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tristan Suarez carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tristan Suarez a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tristan Suarez Patronato
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 14
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.48 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato
1:0
May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Tristan Suarez
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Tristan Suarez
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato
2:0
Jul 7, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Tristan Suarez
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tristan Suarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Becker D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Patronato Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tristan Suarez 46 / 100
Patronato 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tristan Suarez Patronato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tristan Suarez went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Patronato let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tristan Suarez scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tristan Suarez VS Patronato
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tristan Suarez

(Home)
17 Oct
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Patronato
10 Oct
Colegiales
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

Patronato

(Away)
17 Oct
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Patronato
11 Oct
Patronato
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)