Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Funez N.
Assist: Lattanzio C.
38' Event
Alvarez M.
Assist: Beron J.
52' Event
Alvarez M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Tristan Suarez and San Martin S.J. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tristan Suarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tristan Suarez
30%
Draws
34%
San Martin S.J.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tristan Suarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tristan Suarez come out ahead of San Martin S.J. on wins alone.
  • Tristan Suarez are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tristan Suarez San Martin S.J.
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez
3:2
May 25, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.
0:1
Jul 22, 2022 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tristan Suarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Funez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tristan Suarez 46 / 100
San Martin S.J. 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tristan Suarez San Martin S.J.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tristan Suarez stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

San Martin S.J.'s recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tristan Suarez VS San Martin S.J.
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tristan Suarez

(Home)
11 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
04 Jul
Temperley
1 : 0
Tristan Suarez
21 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
14 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
06 Jun
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Almagro
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San Martin S.J.

(Away)
12 Jul
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
San Martin S.J.
05 Jul
San Martin S.J.
0 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Jun
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Agropecuario
13 Jun
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
San Martin S.J.
31 May
Temperley
2 : 1
San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)