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Tritones Vallarta vs Deportiva Venados

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Tritones Vallarta and Deportiva Venados finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tritones Vallarta
39%
Draws
30%
Deportiva Venados
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tritones Vallarta haven't matched Deportiva Venados's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 18%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tritones Vallarta Deportiva Venados
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 21
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Tritones Vallarta
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Deportiva Venados
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritones Vallarta 32 / 100
Deportiva Venados 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tritones Vallarta Deportiva Venados

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tritones Vallarta scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Deportiva Venados conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Tritones Vallarta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tritones Vallarta VS Deportiva Venados
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Racing de Veracruz-
TBD-
Tigres de Alica2
Halcones de Zapopan3
Alacranes de Durango-
TBD-
FC Santiago3
Zacatepec4
Deportiva Venados3
Calor De San Pedro1
Tapachula1
Tritones Vallarta2
Apodaca-
TBD-
Tecos0
Inter Playa Del Carmen2
Quarter-finals
Racing de Veracruz0
Halcones de Zapopan2
Alacranes de Durango3
Zacatepec3
Deportiva Venados2
Tritones Vallarta1
Apodaca3
Inter Playa Del Carmen1
Semi-finals
Halcones de Zapopan1
Alacranes de Durango2
Deportiva Venados5
Apodaca3
Final
Alacranes de Durango1
Deportiva Venados2