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Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Tritones Vallarta Logo

Tritones Vallarta

2 - 0
FT
Los Cabos United Logo

Los Cabos United

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
86' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Tritones Vallarta and Los Cabos United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tritones Vallarta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Tritones Vallarta
20%
Draws
65%
Los Cabos United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Cabos United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tritones Vallarta come out ahead of Los Cabos United on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 20%
Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tritones Vallarta Los Cabos United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Premier
Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta
4:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United
0:0
Oct 29, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritones Vallarta 36 / 100
Los Cabos United 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tritones Vallarta Los Cabos United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Cabos United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tritones Vallarta scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Los Cabos United let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tritones Vallarta remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tritones Vallarta VS Los Cabos United
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tritones Vallarta

(Home)
04 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
28 Aug
Tritones Vallarta
0 : 1
Reboceros de La Piedad
Page 1 of 6

Los Cabos United

(Away)
05 Oct
Los Cabos United
0 : 2
Cordobes FC
27 Sept
Purepechas
0 : 1
Los Cabos United
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)