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Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United

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Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
86' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Tritones Vallarta and Los Cabos United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tritones Vallarta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tritones Vallarta
33%
Draws
27%
Los Cabos United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tritones Vallarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tritones Vallarta come out ahead of Los Cabos United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tritones Vallarta a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 20%
Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tritones Vallarta Los Cabos United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta
4:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United
0:0
Oct 29, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritones Vallarta 40 / 100
Los Cabos United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tritones Vallarta Los Cabos United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Cabos United has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Tritones Vallarta scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tritones Vallarta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tritones Vallarta VS Los Cabos United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tritones Vallarta

(Home)
25 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
22 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Deportiva Venados
19 Apr
Tapachula
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
15 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 0
Tapachula
11 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 7

Los Cabos United

(Away)
12 Apr
Los Cabos United
0 : 2
Tigres de Alica
28 Mar
Tritones Vallarta
2 : 0
Los Cabos United
22 Mar
Los Cabos United
0 : 0
Tecos
15 Mar
Guerreros de Autlan
1 : 1
Los Cabos United
12 Mar
Los Cabos United
3 : 2
UA Zacatecas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alacranes de Durango26212371:1674
2Tigres de Alica26173646:2556
3Cimarrones de Sonora26157446:1954
4Leones Negros 226162842:2653
5Tecos26144849:3449
6Tritones Vallarta261511032:2746
7Mineros de Fresnillo261141140:4139
8Los Cabos United261131237:4037
9Guerreros de Autlan26851338:4232
10UA Zacatecas26841432:4929
11Ensenada FC26821630:5528
12Reboceros de La Piedad26711839:6623
13Zapotlanejo26611939:7321
14Colima FC26431924:5217
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Apodaca26212347:1966
2FC Santiago26147543:2151
3Zacatepec26128629:1545
4Halcones de Zapopan26116944:2744
5Calor De San Pedro26127737:2644
6Gavilanes de Matamoros26125931:2244
7Lobos ULMX26116933:2840
8Correcaminos 226971027:2536
9Chilpancingo2698933:4135
10Cordobes FC26861229:3030
11Zitacuaro266101022:3128
12CS Canamy26581333:5326
13Ciervos26441820:5018
14Atletico Hidalgo26441822:6216
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing de Veracruz24213055:971
2Deportiva Venados24154561:2552
3Tapachula241301151:3544
4Celaya24124842:3243
5Inter Playa Del Carmen24134735:2842
6Montaneses241221035:2838
7Pioneros241031135:3535
8Jaguares De Chiapas24941133:3234
9Heroes de Zaci241021233:4634
10Chapulineros24581121:3323
11Canoneros FC24711625:4922
12Neza FC24521725:7319
13Dragones Toluca24431721:4717
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)