Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta

2 - 0

UA Zacatecas

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Saucedo C.

42'

Saucedo C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tritones Vallarta in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tritones Vallarta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Tritones Vallarta

20%

Draws

38%

UA Zacatecas

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tritones Vallarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Tritones Vallarta have won more games recently than UA Zacatecas.
42% — that's where the model lands on Tritones Vallarta taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%

Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 20%

UA Zacatecas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tritones Vallarta	UA Zacatecas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	9
Draws	3	4
Losses	11	17
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.5	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

UA Zacatecas vs Tritones Vallarta

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Oct 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs UA Zacatecas

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Feb 1, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs UA Zacatecas

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Sep 28, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

UA Zacatecas vs Tritones Vallarta

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Mar 6, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs UA Zacatecas

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tritones Vallarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Saucedo C.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

UA Zacatecas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritones Vallarta 42 / 100

UA Zacatecas 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tritones Vallarta UA Zacatecas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tritones Vallarta found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

UA Zacatecas has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Tritones Vallarta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tritones Vallarta VS UA Zacatecas

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25

38% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17