Sport Picks
Tritones Vallarta vs Zacatepec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Primera Premier 
Match Events
2'
2'
Ramirez E.
42'
42'
Bass A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Premier game between Tritones Vallarta and Zacatepec finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zacatepec
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tritones Vallarta have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Zacatepec are scoring more at 1.3.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 21%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tritones Vallarta | Zacatepec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Primera Premier
Tritones Vallarta vs Zacatepec
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tritones Vallarta Compare
Top Goalscorer Bass A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Zacatepec Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramirez E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tritones Vallarta 37 / 100
Zacatepec 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tritones Vallarta Zacatepec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zacatepec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tritones Vallarta scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Zacatepec has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Tritones Vallarta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tritones Vallarta VS Zacatepec
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tritones Vallarta
(Home) 04 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 1 Tritones Vallarta
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1 Tritones Vallarta
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1 Zacatepec
28 Aug
Tritones Vallarta
0 : 1 Reboceros de La Piedad
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1 Zacatepec
28 Aug
Tritones Vallarta
0 : 1 Reboceros de La Piedad
22 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1 Deportiva Venados
15 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 0 Tapachula
28 Mar
Tritones Vallarta
2 : 0 Los Cabos United
Page 1 of 3
Zacatepec
(Away) 03 Oct
Zacatepec
2 : 3 Reboceros de La Piedad
26 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 1 Zacatepec
19 Sept
Zacatepec
1 : 0 Purepechas
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1 Zacatepec
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1 Lobos ULMX
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 1 Zacatepec
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1 Zacatepec
29 Aug
Tigres de Alica
3 : 1 Zacatepec
26 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Zacatepec
19 Apr
FC Santiago
2 : 3 Zacatepec
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Tigres de Alica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 4 | Zacatepec | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 5 | Los Cabos United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 6 | Cordobes FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 8 | Tritones Vallarta | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 9 | Purepechas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Pioneros | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Celaya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 5 | Deportiva Venados | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 7 | Chapulineros | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 8 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 9 | Tapachula | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)
