Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Triumf Barca vs CSM Alexandria

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Triumf Barca in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Triumf Barca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Triumf Barca
20%
Draws
58%
CSM Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSM Alexandria lately — more wins on the board than Triumf Barca.
  • Win probability leans CSM Alexandria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Triumf Barca Clean Sheet 20%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triumf Barca CSM Alexandria
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.64
Goals Conceded 3.97 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Triumf Barca vs CSM Alexandria
2:1
Nov 17, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs Triumf Barca
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triumf Barca 10 / 100
CSM Alexandria 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triumf Barca CSM Alexandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CSM Alexandria conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Triumf Barca scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Triumf Barca has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CSM Alexandria
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Triumf Barca

(Home)
20 Jul
Recolta Danceu
3 : 1
Triumf Barca
03 Jun
Piatra Olt
6 : 0
Triumf Barca
27 May
Triumf Barca
3 : 0
FC Drobeta-Turnu Severin
20 May
Jiul Rovinari
6 : 0
Triumf Barca
14 May
Triumf Barca
1 : 11
Visina Noua
Page 1 of 6

CSM Alexandria

(Away)
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
28 Aug
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olt Slatina 34 23 9 2 75:27 78
2 FCM Targoviste 34 24 4 6 58:20 76
3 Triumf Barca 34 18 5 11 53:37 59
4 Visina Noua 34 17 4 13 45:32 55
5 Oltchim Ramnicu 34 17 4 13 54:51 55
6 Prometeu Craiova 34 14 12 8 44:27 54
7 Campionii Arges 2 34 16 5 13 54:48 53
8 CSM Alexandria 34 13 10 11 39:31 49
9 Albota 34 13 9 12 41:36 48
10 FC Caracal 34 14 6 14 44:42 48
11 Ghecon Lapusata 34 14 6 14 48:44 48
12 Matasari 34 14 5 15 37:40 47
13 Progresul Corabia 34 14 4 16 57:55 46
14 Ralbex 34 12 7 15 44:49 43
15 Minerul Motru 34 12 5 17 72:63 41
16 Armata Craiova 33 7 8 18 30:55 29
17 CS U Craiova 2 34 6 3 25 33:73 21
18 Juventus Bascov 33 3 2 28 12:110 11
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie A 2010/2011 (Main)