Sport Picks
Trival Valderas vs Alcorcon B
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
35'
35'
Pascual D.
53'
53'
Antwi D. M.
Own Goal
58'
58'
Kone S.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Trival Valderas and Alcorcon B finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Trival Valderas come out ahead of Alcorcon B on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 19%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Alcorcon B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Alcorcon B
2:2
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Trival Valderas
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Alcorcon B
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Trival Valderas
1:2
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Trival Valderas
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trival Valderas Compare
Top Goalscorer Pascual D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Alcorcon B Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trival Valderas 32 / 100
Alcorcon B 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trival Valderas Alcorcon B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Trival Valderas scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Alcorcon B let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Trival Valderas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Trival Valderas VS Alcorcon B
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.83
50% Over 1.5 83%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Trival Valderas
(Home) 13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0 Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0 La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0 La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
24 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Leganes B
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2 Alcorcon B
Page 1 of 3
Alcorcon B
(Away) 10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2 Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1 AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4 Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2 Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1 Mexico
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2 Alcorcon B
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4 Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2 Alcorcon B
02 Apr
Tres Cantos
1 : 3 Alcorcon B
22 Mar
CD Mostoles
0 : 1 Alcorcon B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
