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Trival Valderas vs CD Las Rozas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Camacho R.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Rivero A.
(Penalty)
82' Event
Bielo M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Trival Valderas and CD Las Rozas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Trival Valderas
35%
Draws
27%
CD Las Rozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Trival Valderas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Trival Valderas a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas CD Las Rozas
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 21 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs CD Las Rozas
2:1
Jun 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs CD Las Rozas
3:1
May 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs CD Las Rozas
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Bielo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

CD Las Rozas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 50 / 100
CD Las Rozas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas CD Las Rozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trival Valderas found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (37 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Trival Valderas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CD Las Rozas let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS CD Las Rozas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
CD Las Rozas
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
Page 1 of 8

CD Las Rozas

(Away)
04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
CD Las Rozas
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3
CD Las Rozas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)