Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trival Valderas vs CDE Madrid

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 game between Trival Valderas and CDE Madrid finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CDE Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Trival Valderas
35%
Draws
38%
CDE Madrid
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CDE Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trival Valderas come out ahead of CDE Madrid on wins alone.
  • 27% — that's where the model lands on Trival Valderas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and CDE Madrid have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 20%
CDE Madrid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas CDE Madrid
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 13 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs CDE Madrid
1:2
Dec 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs Trival Valderas
2:0
Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs CDE Madrid
0:1
Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs Trival Valderas
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 40 / 100
CDE Madrid 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas CDE Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CDE Madrid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Trival Valderas's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Trival Valderas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 9

CDE Madrid

(Away)
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 2
CDE Madrid
09 Apr
CDE Madrid
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 1
CDE Madrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)