Sport Picks
Trival Valderas vs El Alamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 
Match Events
10'
10'
Presa M.
27'
27'
Nurudeen I.
34'
34'
Raul D. O.
AI Match Summary
Trival Valderas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trival Valderas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trival Valderas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Trival Valderas lately — more wins on the board than El Alamo.
- Win probability leans Trival Valderas's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trival Valderas | El Alamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Trival Valderas
3:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs El Alamo
3:2
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs El Alamo
1:0
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Trival Valderas
1:1
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Trival Valderas
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trival Valderas Compare
Top Goalscorer Nurudeen I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Raul D. O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
El Alamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Presa M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Salmi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trival Valderas 95 / 100
El Alamo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trival Valderas El Alamo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trival Valderas's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
El Alamo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Trival Valderas remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Trival Valderas VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Trival Valderas
(Home) 04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1 CD Las Rozas
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2 Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0 Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1 CD Las Rozas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0 La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 4
El Alamo
(Away) 11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1 Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1 El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1 Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0 El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2 Villaverde San Andres
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1 El Alamo
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0 El Alamo
06 Apr
CD Las Rozas
2 : 1 El Alamo
22 Mar
Alcorcon B
3 : 1 El Alamo
09 Mar
RSD Alcala
4 : 1 El Alamo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 68:32 | 75 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 71:52 | 61 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 4 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 52:37 | 54 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 45:41 | 54 |
| 6 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Collado Villalba | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 44:36 | 52 |
| 8 | Leganes B | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 51 |
| 9 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 55:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Mexico | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:49 | 42 |
| 13 | Carabanchel | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 14 | Parla | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Cala Pozuelo | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Aravaca CF | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 42:52 | 35 |
| 17 | Canillas | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 36:68 | 23 |
| 18 | El Alamo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:61 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
